Should be in
West Virginia Mountaineers (83%)
It was not as comfortable as it could have been with a 22-point lead at the half, but the Mountaineers nonetheless closed the regular season with a win against UCF on Saturday, perhaps building momentum for the Big 12 tournament. After the win, the ESPN Analytics model elevates WVU's probability to 83%, placing it firmly within "should be in" territory. It's worth noting, however, that other models are somewhat less optimistic, and the Mountaineers entered the day ninth in NET in a conference that Bracketology projects for eight tourney teams. WVU has faced a difficult schedule, though, and ranks top 40 in both SOR and WAB, with six wins versus top-50 opponents and 12 against the top 100. The Mountaineers might need a good run in the conference tourney to feel safer, but they are in solid shape if the committee respects their schedule strength. (Updated March 9 at 8:45 a.m.)
Next game: Wednesday vs. TBD, Big 12 tournament, 3 p.m. (ESPN+)
Men's Bubble Watch: Drake is a lock, won't steal a bid
As Selection Sunday nears, let's track which teams can play their way in or out of the NCAA tournament.
