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Germany ran out of money to support Ukraine and is legally prevented to make more debt, that caused a clash within the government and it collapsed !

WVU82
-> Scholz is now ruling Germany with a minority in the parliament!

Germany ran out of money to support Ukraine and is legally prevented to make more debt, that caused a clash within the government and it collapsed! (There were more problems, but that “straw broke the camels back”.)

-> There is a “debt break” law, that prevents the German government to take on debt beyond an allowed sum, which Germany exhaust already.

1) According to chancellor Scholz, not being able to finance Ukraine or decrease financing of social spending to free money for Ukraine is an extraordinarily emergency situation that threatens Germany. So Scholz demanded from the finance minister to suspend the law and allow the take on more debt to pay for and send to Ukraine. The plan was to just make more debt for Ukraine.

2) But the finance minister refused to do that, since that would breach the oath of he gave to Germany as a finance minister.
Essentially Ukraine collapse is of course is not threatening Germany, just Scholz and his government personally.

3) Scholz fired the finance minister Lindner for not obeying his wish.

4) The party of the finance minister FDP, in reaction retracted from the ruling government!

The ruling government consisted out of 3 parties: SPD (Scholz’s party), the Green Party and the FDP. This is needed to form a majority in the parliament. But now one of these parties retracted from the coalition, hence the German government is now ruling with minority.

5) Scholz said “we have no time”, because he wants to finance Ukraine quickly before elections. So he is appointing new ministers for the now empty positions of the withdrawn FDP party.

-> Technically (and legally) that is extremely questionable, since the government officially has no majority. So how is making critical decisions?

Looks like Scholz wants to push through the Ukraine funding no matter what.

6) The opposition demands new elections quickly, but Scholz wants to govern with the support of the opposition for now.

It is a clown show. For now the elections are rumored to come in March 2025.

-> The “collective west” collapses on the back of Ukraine. USA Is lucky and likely steps back from this nonsense with Trump.

Democracy apparently works without a majority as well.
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Statistical post-mortem on 2024 regular season

PWRLFT_EER
Had a little free time during lunch today and was looking at bcftoys.com website for final 2024 numbers. Why? Morbid curiosity I suppose. I'll split this up into offense and defense, with some comparisons to the previous 5 seasons, plus a cameo appearance for another season just to illustrate something that even took me by surprise.

Offense
























































































































Year
OFEI​
 Rank
OPD​
Rank​
OSR​
Rank​
OTD​
Rank​
OFD​
Rank​
2024
.11​
43​
 2.42 47 .422 63 .294 53 .775 12
2023
.20​
26​
 2.65 31 .484 27 .323 33 .694 56
2022
.17​
33​
 2.22 65 .397 69 .276 67 .664 74
2021
-.09​
70​
 2.02 79 .405 73 .230 90 .690 59
2020
-.16​
75​
 1.74 101 .366 88 .198 105 .683 64
2019
-.25​
90​
 1.54 112 .328 108 .184 112 .552 125


FEI Offense Ratings (OFEI) are opponent-adjusted possession efficiency data representing the scoring advantage per non-garbage possession an offense would expect to have on a neutral field against an average opponent defense. Offensive points per drive (OPD), and the percentages of offensive drives that ended in a touchdown or field goal attempt (OSR), drives that ended in a touchdown (OTD), drives that earned at least 10 yards (OFD) are calculated from the results of non-garbage, regulation drives in FBS vs. FBS games.

Defense










































































































Year DFEI Rank DPD Rank DSR Rank DTD Rank DFD Rank
2024 -.19 104 3.09 120 .490 104 .423 127 .750 108
2023 .16 52 2.15 56 .419 68 .274 69 .718 99
2022 -.07 87 2.91 119 .509 117 .371 118 .750 112
2021 .29 31 2.21 65 .429 63 .254 55 .714 86
2020 .37 21 1.58 19 .330 21 .196 22 .649 37
2019 .09 60 2.49 87 .433 72 .317 88 .742
103
2012 -.16 81 2.99 113 * * .394 115 .737 96


FEI Defense Ratings (DFEI) are opponent-adjusted possession efficiency data representing the scoring advantage per non-garbage possession a defense would expect to have on a neutral field against an average opponent offense. Opponent offensive points per drive (DPD), the percentages of opponent offensive drives that ended in a touchdown or field goal attempt (DSR), drives that ended in a touchdown (DTD), drives that earned at least 10 yards (DFD) are calculated from the results of non-garbage, regulation drives in FBS vs FBS games.

-Couple of things about the offense - the 2024 numbers don't look terrible, but the regression is there given the drop-off in points per drive and that large drop in success rate. Moving the ball a little wasn't the problem as the first down rate suggests, but a 35 percentage point difference over the drive success rate clearly shows that drives fizzled out way too much.

-For the defense, not much to say other than ewwww. I always thought the 3 points per drive given up by that sieve of a defense in 2012 would be the low water mark for a WVU defense, but man was I wrong. Giving up points on 49% of drives to FBS opponents is bad enough, but when 42% of drives end in a TD...it's bad. It's really bad, like the eating a circle of hot garbage kind of bad.
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