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Statistical post-mortem on 2024 regular season

PWRLFT_EER

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Sep 3, 2007
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Had a little free time during lunch today and was looking at bcftoys.com website for final 2024 numbers. Why? Morbid curiosity I suppose. I'll split this up into offense and defense, with some comparisons to the previous 5 seasons, plus a cameo appearance for another season just to illustrate something that even took me by surprise.

Offense
























































































































Year
OFEI​
Rank
OPD​

Rank​

OSR​

Rank​

OTD​

Rank​

OFD​

Rank​
2024
.11​

43​
2.42 47 .422 63 .294 53 .775 12
2023
.20​

26​
2.65 31 .484 27 .323 33 .694 56
2022
.17​

33​
2.22 65 .397 69 .276 67 .664 74
2021
-.09​

70​
2.02 79 .405 73 .230 90 .690 59
2020
-.16​

75​
1.74 101 .366 88 .198 105 .683 64
2019
-.25​

90​
1.54 112 .328 108 .184 112 .552 125


FEI Offense Ratings (OFEI) are opponent-adjusted possession efficiency data representing the scoring advantage per non-garbage possession an offense would expect to have on a neutral field against an average opponent defense. Offensive points per drive (OPD), and the percentages of offensive drives that ended in a touchdown or field goal attempt (OSR), drives that ended in a touchdown (OTD), drives that earned at least 10 yards (OFD) are calculated from the results of non-garbage, regulation drives in FBS vs. FBS games.

Defense










































































































Year DFEI Rank DPD Rank DSR Rank DTD Rank DFD Rank
2024 -.19 104 3.09 120 .490 104 .423 127 .750 108
2023 .16 52 2.15 56 .419 68 .274 69 .718 99
2022 -.07 87 2.91 119 .509 117 .371 118 .750 112
2021 .29 31 2.21 65 .429 63 .254 55 .714 86
2020 .37 21 1.58 19 .330 21 .196 22 .649 37
2019 .09 60 2.49 87 .433 72 .317 88 .742
103
2012 -.16 81 2.99 113 * * .394 115 .737 96


FEI Defense Ratings (DFEI) are opponent-adjusted possession efficiency data representing the scoring advantage per non-garbage possession a defense would expect to have on a neutral field against an average opponent offense. Opponent offensive points per drive (DPD), the percentages of opponent offensive drives that ended in a touchdown or field goal attempt (DSR), drives that ended in a touchdown (DTD), drives that earned at least 10 yards (DFD) are calculated from the results of non-garbage, regulation drives in FBS vs FBS games.

-Couple of things about the offense - the 2024 numbers don't look terrible, but the regression is there given the drop-off in points per drive and that large drop in success rate. Moving the ball a little wasn't the problem as the first down rate suggests, but a 35 percentage point difference over the drive success rate clearly shows that drives fizzled out way too much.

-For the defense, not much to say other than ewwww. I always thought the 3 points per drive given up by that sieve of a defense in 2012 would be the low water mark for a WVU defense, but man was I wrong. Giving up points on 49% of drives to FBS opponents is bad enough, but when 42% of drives end in a TD...it's bad. It's really bad, like the eating a circle of hot garbage kind of bad.
 
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