Had a little free time during lunch today and was looking at bcftoys.com website for final 2024 numbers. Why? Morbid curiosity I suppose. I'll split this up into offense and defense, with some comparisons to the previous 5 seasons, plus a cameo appearance for another season just to illustrate something that even took me by surprise.
Offense
FEI Offense Ratings (OFEI) are opponent-adjusted possession efficiency data representing the scoring advantage per non-garbage possession an offense would expect to have on a neutral field against an average opponent defense. Offensive points per drive (OPD), and the percentages of offensive drives that ended in a touchdown or field goal attempt (OSR), drives that ended in a touchdown (OTD), drives that earned at least 10 yards (OFD) are calculated from the results of non-garbage, regulation drives in FBS vs. FBS games.
Defense
FEI Defense Ratings (DFEI) are opponent-adjusted possession efficiency data representing the scoring advantage per non-garbage possession a defense would expect to have on a neutral field against an average opponent offense. Opponent offensive points per drive (DPD), the percentages of opponent offensive drives that ended in a touchdown or field goal attempt (DSR), drives that ended in a touchdown (DTD), drives that earned at least 10 yards (DFD) are calculated from the results of non-garbage, regulation drives in FBS vs FBS games.
-Couple of things about the offense - the 2024 numbers don't look terrible, but the regression is there given the drop-off in points per drive and that large drop in success rate. Moving the ball a little wasn't the problem as the first down rate suggests, but a 35 percentage point difference over the drive success rate clearly shows that drives fizzled out way too much.
-For the defense, not much to say other than ewwww. I always thought the 3 points per drive given up by that sieve of a defense in 2012 would be the low water mark for a WVU defense, but man was I wrong. Giving up points on 49% of drives to FBS opponents is bad enough, but when 42% of drives end in a TD...it's bad. It's really bad, like the eating a circle of hot garbage kind of bad.
Offense
Year | OFEI | Rank | OPD | Rank | OSR | Rank | OTD | Rank | OFD | Rank |
2024 | .11 | 43 | 2.42 | 47 | .422 | 63 | .294 | 53 | .775 | 12 |
2023 | .20 | 26 | 2.65 | 31 | .484 | 27 | .323 | 33 | .694 | 56 |
2022 | .17 | 33 | 2.22 | 65 | .397 | 69 | .276 | 67 | .664 | 74 |
2021 | -.09 | 70 | 2.02 | 79 | .405 | 73 | .230 | 90 | .690 | 59 |
2020 | -.16 | 75 | 1.74 | 101 | .366 | 88 | .198 | 105 | .683 | 64 |
2019 | -.25 | 90 | 1.54 | 112 | .328 | 108 | .184 | 112 | .552 | 125 |
FEI Offense Ratings (OFEI) are opponent-adjusted possession efficiency data representing the scoring advantage per non-garbage possession an offense would expect to have on a neutral field against an average opponent defense. Offensive points per drive (OPD), and the percentages of offensive drives that ended in a touchdown or field goal attempt (OSR), drives that ended in a touchdown (OTD), drives that earned at least 10 yards (OFD) are calculated from the results of non-garbage, regulation drives in FBS vs. FBS games.
Defense
Year | DFEI | Rank | DPD | Rank | DSR | Rank | DTD | Rank | DFD | Rank |
2024 | -.19 | 104 | 3.09 | 120 | .490 | 104 | .423 | 127 | .750 | 108 |
2023 | .16 | 52 | 2.15 | 56 | .419 | 68 | .274 | 69 | .718 | 99 |
2022 | -.07 | 87 | 2.91 | 119 | .509 | 117 | .371 | 118 | .750 | 112 |
2021 | .29 | 31 | 2.21 | 65 | .429 | 63 | .254 | 55 | .714 | 86 |
2020 | .37 | 21 | 1.58 | 19 | .330 | 21 | .196 | 22 | .649 | 37 |
2019 | .09 | 60 | 2.49 | 87 | .433 | 72 | .317 | 88 | .742 | 103 |
2012 | -.16 | 81 | 2.99 | 113 | * | * | .394 | 115 | .737 | 96 |
FEI Defense Ratings (DFEI) are opponent-adjusted possession efficiency data representing the scoring advantage per non-garbage possession a defense would expect to have on a neutral field against an average opponent offense. Opponent offensive points per drive (DPD), the percentages of opponent offensive drives that ended in a touchdown or field goal attempt (DSR), drives that ended in a touchdown (DTD), drives that earned at least 10 yards (DFD) are calculated from the results of non-garbage, regulation drives in FBS vs FBS games.
-Couple of things about the offense - the 2024 numbers don't look terrible, but the regression is there given the drop-off in points per drive and that large drop in success rate. Moving the ball a little wasn't the problem as the first down rate suggests, but a 35 percentage point difference over the drive success rate clearly shows that drives fizzled out way too much.
-For the defense, not much to say other than ewwww. I always thought the 3 points per drive given up by that sieve of a defense in 2012 would be the low water mark for a WVU defense, but man was I wrong. Giving up points on 49% of drives to FBS opponents is bad enough, but when 42% of drives end in a TD...it's bad. It's really bad, like the eating a circle of hot garbage kind of bad.