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New FBI stats show 'historic' declines in violent crime rate, with murder showing sharpest drop

“The FBI’s quarterly data is very preliminary and prone to errors, so it is likely overstating the trends it sees,” Jeff Asher, a data analyst with an expertise in evaluating criminal justice data.

Crime rates, of course, vary throughout the country, as do people's perceptions of the problem. The majority of Americans – 77% – believe crime is increasing nationally, according to data from the Pew Research Center.

There are several caveats worth mentioning when addressing crime data. For one, many crimes in the U.S. are not reported to police, according to the Bureau of Justice Statistics.

Experts say that while the extent of the decline might be exaggerated, the overall trend is correct.

“Almost all crime data is imperfect, and the quarterly data adds an important imperfect piece to the national crime trend jigsaw puzzle,” Asher wrote.

U.S. NEWS
 
“The FBI’s quarterly data is very preliminary and prone to errors, so it is likely overstating the trends it sees,” Jeff Asher, a data analyst with an expertise in evaluating criminal justice data.

Crime rates, of course, vary throughout the country, as do people's perceptions of the problem. The majority of Americans – 77% – believe crime is increasing nationally, according to data from the Pew Research Center.

There are several caveats worth mentioning when addressing crime data. For one, many crimes in the U.S. are not reported to police, according to the Bureau of Justice Statistics.

Experts say that while the extent of the decline might be exaggerated, the overall trend is correct.

“Almost all crime data is imperfect, and the quarterly data adds an important imperfect piece to the national crime trend jigsaw puzzle,” Asher wrote.

U.S. NEWS
Lies, Damn Lies, and statistics
 
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