From a 4 seed to likely bubble team in a matter of days

[Almostheaventoalmostcanada]

Assuming we also lose the next 3 (home v Houston, @ Cincy, @ TCU) this team will have to get say 4 more wins at least to be on the bubble.

Remaining games after @ TCU:

Home v Utah
Home v BYU
@ Baylor
Home v Cincy
@ Texas Tech
Home v TCU
@ Utah
@ BYU
Home v UCF

After tonight, the only games we will be favored to win will likely be:

Home v Utah
Home v BYU
Home v Cincy
Home v TCU
Home v UCF

If we won these 5 it’d put as at 18-13 (9-11) which should be enough to get in, but we’d be on the bubble. It doesn’t leave us much margin for error. You have to win the home games in this conference.

 

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