WVU's regular season win total is now coming into focus as there is consensus across several recreational books on a total of 5.5. Here are a few of the prices:
FanDuel: over 5.5 +134 under 5.5 -164
Caesars: over 5.5 +135 under 5.5 -165
ESPNBET: over 5.5 +105 under 5.5 -135
Using the pricing from Caesars, the implied odds are:
42.5 % chance WVU wins more than 5.5 games
62% chance WVU wins less than 5.5 games
The FanDuel opener on the under was -144. Simply stated, the oddsmakers don't have a lot of faith in WVU going 6-6 or better.
So now that the bad news is out of the way, how does everyone feel about these #'s? I'll share my thoughts:
--if you are overly optimistic like I get in the months leading up to kickoff, don't bet the over at ESPNBet. They are dealing a bad price
-- if you have negative view of WVU athletics as well as the entire state of college football/NIL etc., then feel free to run to ESPNBET and take advantage of that -135......I have a feeling they will increase that price after a few bets on the under
The X factor in all of this is the portal. I've read very few posts on here about practices, personnel, etc., but the Spring Portal seems to be a hot topic. For those that follow the spring practice updates, here are a few questions:
Will WVU be portal heavy this spring?
Are any key losses expected?
What are the areas of concern and the chances those could be resolved using the portal?
It will be interesting to see where WVU's win total closes at. I think the key factors that could cause a large shift in the price would be injuries (let's hope not) and the effects of the transfer portal.
FanDuel: over 5.5 +134 under 5.5 -164
Caesars: over 5.5 +135 under 5.5 -165
ESPNBET: over 5.5 +105 under 5.5 -135
Using the pricing from Caesars, the implied odds are:
42.5 % chance WVU wins more than 5.5 games
62% chance WVU wins less than 5.5 games
The FanDuel opener on the under was -144. Simply stated, the oddsmakers don't have a lot of faith in WVU going 6-6 or better.
So now that the bad news is out of the way, how does everyone feel about these #'s? I'll share my thoughts:
--if you are overly optimistic like I get in the months leading up to kickoff, don't bet the over at ESPNBet. They are dealing a bad price
-- if you have negative view of WVU athletics as well as the entire state of college football/NIL etc., then feel free to run to ESPNBET and take advantage of that -135......I have a feeling they will increase that price after a few bets on the under
The X factor in all of this is the portal. I've read very few posts on here about practices, personnel, etc., but the Spring Portal seems to be a hot topic. For those that follow the spring practice updates, here are a few questions:
Will WVU be portal heavy this spring?
Are any key losses expected?
What are the areas of concern and the chances those could be resolved using the portal?
It will be interesting to see where WVU's win total closes at. I think the key factors that could cause a large shift in the price would be injuries (let's hope not) and the effects of the transfer portal.
