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WVU chances to be in March Madness

Cuyahoga Falls Eers

All-American
May 29, 2001
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Let’s look at teams who got into 2022 March Madness:

FOUR Power 5 teams got in with only 17-14 (Michigan) to 19-13 (Alabama) records. We all know Power 5 teams get in with worst W-L than non-Power 5 teams.

WVU is 13-8. So 4 to 6 W’s in 10 remaining games should do it, based on 2022 selections.

About 1 W for every L in 10 contests to be played. I see 4 W's and 1 tossup which would mean 17-13 to 18-12. Michigan and Rutgers got in last year at those levels.

Looking at the remainder of the schedule I see:

3 should-be W’s.

7 games against nationally ranked teams.

Minimal 4 W’s isn’t out of reach. 6 W’s means picking off 2 of the ranked teams that come at us in two 3-game stretches.

It’s not impossible. Maybe not even improbable.

Not if Stevenson has more games like he did against #15 Auburn and the team has more games like it did against TCU. Then WVU will be in March Madness again!

That’s what we all want, right?

At 9 pm Tuesday WVU visits #11 TCU, which Mountaineeers beat earlier, then fellow bottom 4 Oklahoma, which defeated WVU by 1 point in Norman, visits Saturday, Feb. 4 at 8 pm. 2 possible W's.

Then comes 3 tough games in a row against #12 Iowa State, #10 Texas and #17 Baylor. A W in any those 3 would be major NAT help. I think Texas is our best option among those 3.

Then bottom 4 teams winless Texas Tech and Oklahoma State, both in Morgantown. 2 golden W opportunities.

Then 3 more brutal games against #9 Kansas, #12 Iowa State and #5 Kansas State. Tough to see a W there, but who knows?

2022 MARCH MADNESS SEEDINGS
63. Georgia State 18-10
60. Saint Peters 19-11
56. Yale 19-11
44. Rutgers 18-13
42. Michigan 17-14
36. Marquette 19-12
28. Ohio State 19-11
21. Alabama 19-13
 
There's no guarantees in making the tournament with 17 or 18 wins. You just don't know if there will be upsets in conference tournaments or not. If there are a lot of upsets of top teams during conference playoffs can knock you off the bubble.

Win your home games and hope to get a couple road wins increases your chances. Right now win 3 and you're probably NIT. Win 4 or 5 and you're a bubble team depending on what you can in your conference tournament.

1 game at time.
 
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