Your first point is wrong. The pro rata clause is triggered with any schools. ESPN (and Fox) have to pay the pro rata increase, no matter which team it is.
Regarding Houston:
-You are doing some filling in here. Texas isn't really concerned about adding in Houston. If you
go here, someone posted an article from Orangebloods, which included some comments from several people in the UT athletic department. Essentially, Texas doesn't really care about expansion, but since the league came up with this idea of redistributing the pro rata money, they will go along with it. Here is one quote from the article:
“If you want to know why we are not strongly against this idea, it’s because of the money,” one source told me via text on Wednesday. “It’s a lot of money to us, so imagine how much money it is for some of the other league members. We’re at least going to listen. We like found money in the parking lot as much as the next guy.”
So basically, it's a short-term cash grab (which is what the article says as well).
-The 4th largest city in the U.S. is already in the Big 12's footprint. This is the best way to sum it up: The Big 12 already gets paid for the Houston market.
-Taking away Neilson ratings from the SEC in Houston really doesn't matter. These contracts are self-contained. It's not a zero-sum game. In other words, if the SEC gets lower ratings in Houston, that doesn't make the Big 12's contract pay any more.
-The eastern thing isn't really a factor. For one, we don't know if they are going to go to 14 or just 12. They might end up taking Houston and BYU. In that case, so much for eastern teams. However, as I said, Texas isn't hell bent on getting Houston for some kind of voting block. That's something you've sort of invented on your own. Everything I have read indicated UT's motivation for this is the pro rata money.
-I'm not overriding the consultants. You are putting words into the consultants' mouths. The consultants never said the TV contract was going to be renegotiated, nor did they say the GOR would be extended. Really, the consultants haven't said much of anything. What we have been able to glean is that none of the schools in question really added any sort of value to make the data convincing. The only thing we have seen that is convincing is the pro rata clause, which can't be attributed to the schools.